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Game Predictions: Expert picks for Patriots at Eagles

20191115-ExpertPredictions-PDC

Experts share their picks for the Patriots Week 11 matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles.

Mike Reiss, ESPN:

Pick: Patriots 24, Eagles 20

Bold prediction: First-round draft choice N'Keal Harry will be active for the first time this season for the Patriots, and the wide receiver will be targeted in the red zone for a touchdown grab on a fade route, where his size and physicality can be tapped. The Eagles are tough to run against, so the passing attack figures to be a bigger part of the Patriots' offensive approach.

Tim McManus, ESPN

Pick: Patriots 27, Eagles 23

Receiver Alshon Jeffery (ankle) has been unable to practice this week for the Eagles, putting his status in question. With DeSean Jackson already out for the rest of the regular season, Carson Wentz will have limited weapons at his disposal against a Patriots defense that ranks first in interceptions (19) and passing touchdowns allowed (3).

Mike Golic, ESPN: Patriots

Seth Wickersham, ESPN: Patriots

Mina Kimes, ESPN: Patriots

Dan Graziano, ESPN: Patriots

Trey Wingo, ESPN: Patriots

Kevin Seifert, ESPN: Patriots

Gregg Rosenthal, NFL.com

Pick: Patriots 27, Eagles 21

The profile of each team has flipped since Super Bowl LII 21 months ago. The once high-flying Eagles are a station-to-station offense that will rely on a grinding running attack to overpower the Patriots. After ranking 31st in defensive efficiency back in the 2017 season, New England now relies on a big-play defense (first in turnovers, fourth in sacks) to carry a mediocre passing attack and the worst Patriots running game since they gave carries to Steven Jackson in an AFC Championship Game. Both teams are coming off a bye, making this a fascinating test for how two excellent coaching staffs try to fix their shortcomings while laying out their vision for how to get back to the big game.

Pete Prisco, CBS Sports:

Pick: Patriots 27, Eagles 23

Both of these teams are coming off the bye. The Patriots need to get back on track after losing the last time out to the Ravens. I think they will. The Eagles need this game a lot more in terms of their division race, but I think the Patriots will find a way behind Tom Brady.

Jason La Canfora, CBS Sports: Eagles

Will Brinson, CBS Sports: Patriots

Dave Richard, CBS Sports: Eagles

Ryan Wilson, CBS Sports: Patriots

John Breech, CBS Sports: Patriots

Mike Florio, Pro Football Talk:

Pick: Patriots 26, Eagles 20

When Bill Belichick has two weeks to get ready, he's very hard to beat. Except, of course, when facing Doug Pederson in the Super Bowl. But the Pats are better than the Super Bowl LII team, and the Eagles aren't as good as they were then.

Michael David Smith, Pro Football Talk:

Pick: Patriots 24, Eagles 10

The Patriots' defense should give Carson Wentz fits. I see New England winning this one big.

Jenny Vrentas, MMQB: Patriots

Conor Orr, MMQB: Patriots

Kalyn Kahler, MMQB: Patriots

Andrew Brandt, MMQB: Eagles

Mitch Goldich, MMQB: Eagles

Bette Marston, MMQB: Eagles

Andy Hart, WEEI

Pick: Patriots 24, Eagles 20

Overreaction to their first loss aside, the Patriots proved over the first half of the season to be a consistently better football team than the Eagles. But Philly is getting healthy and has plenty of talent on both sides of the ball. This game could very well come down to two key areas: turnovers and the battles in the trenches. If the Patriots get pushed around up front on both sides of the ball, it could be a long night. But, if New England continues to take the ball away at an elite level (plus-17 on the season) against an Eagles team that's minus-1 on the year, the visitors will be well on their way to victory. New England needs to get off to a better start than the hole it dug for itself in Baltimore. In the end, look for the Brady-led short passing attack to get the job done. Look for the Patriots defense to return to form and force Wentz' squad into a few key mistakes. Look for New England to get back on the winning track with a 24-20 win in the unfriendly confines of Lincoln Financial Field.

Paul Perillo, Patriots.com:

Pick: Patriots 27, Eagles 23

The offense shows signs of life on the road while the defense forces a late turnover to seal the tight win.

Mike Dussault, Patriots.com:

Pick: Patriots 24, Eagles 17

The Eagles have all the pieces to give the Patriots a tough game but turnovers will be the difference. The Pats aren't quite firing on all cylinders yet, but the offense continues to build and the defense bounces back from getting trounced by the Ravens.

Erik Scalavino, Patriots.com

Pick: Patriots 24, Eagles 13

It's not going to be easy, but New England should come out of its bye week with a road victory in a tough environment. Philly is not a team that's scared of the Super Bowl Champs, because they've beaten them before in the biggest game with many of the same coaches and players who'll take the field Sunday afternoon. However, if the Patriots can control their own line of scrimmage, frustrate Eagles QB Carson Wentz with pressure, and take away his prime target, TE Zach Ertz, that should be enough to win.

Megan O'Brien, Patriots.com

Pick: Patriots 24, Eagles 21

Patriots defense finds their way into the end zone for a score while the secondary successfully limits Ertz's production. Patriots win a close one as Tom Brady looks to N'Keal Harry in the red zone to cap off a scoring drive and secure a Patriots victory.

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