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Expert Predictions: Week 5 Picks for Patriots at Bills 

Experts share their picks for the Patriots Week 5 matchup against the Buffalo Bills.

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Experts share their picks for the Patriots Week 5 matchup against the Buffalo Bills.

Mike Reiss, ESPN:

Pick: Bills 27, Patriots 20

Buffalo has won 14 straight games at home, which reflects how the Patriots are entering one of the toughest environments for a road team in the NFL. The Patriots should be competitive, but winning seems to be asking a lot of a young, ascending team.

Stephania Bell, ESPN: Bills

Matt Bowen, ESPN: Bills

Mike Clay, ESPN: Bills

Chris Fowler, ESPN: Patriots

Dan Graziano, ESPN: Bills

Kalyn Kahler, ESPN: Bills

Pamela Maldonado, ESPN: Bills

Eric Moody, ESPN: Bills

Jason Reid, ESPN: Bills

Lindsey Thiry, ESPN: Bills

Seth Wickersham, ESPN: Patriots

NFL.com

Ali Bhanpuri, NFL.com: Bills 30, Patriots 24

Brooke Cersosimo, NFL.com: Bills 33, Patriots 20

Dan Parr, NFL.com: Bills 31, Patriots 23

Gennaro Filice, NFL.com: Bills 28, Patriots 24

Tom Blair, NFL.com: Bills 29, Patriots 20

Why Tom picked the Bills: I agree with Drake Maye that this will be a "checkpoint" game for the Patriots -- and I suspect they will ultimately be found wanting. New England has every right to roll into this one with some confidence, coming off a 42-13 rout of the Panthers. But on Sunday night, Maye's job will be keeping up with Josh Allen, and that's just a different sort of project entirely. Then there's the fact that Buffalo's most glaring weakness -- a 31st-ranked run defense -- isn't exactly something New England seems equipped to exploit, with Rhamondre Stevenson (4.0 yards per attempt) and TreVeyon Henderson (3.7 yards per attempt) heading up the 25th-ranked ground attack, especially if Ed Oliver and Matt Milano are back. Buffalo's been ruling this rivalry for long enough that it would be almost refreshing for Maye and Co. to pull themselves closer to equal footing, but it feels a bit premature to bank on that happening now.

Pete Prisco, CBS Sports:

Pick: Bills 31, Patriots 20

The Patriots impressed in blowing out Carolina last week, but this is a big step up in class. Facing the Bills at their place on a Sunday night is tough sledding. The Bills have been outstanding on offense and that will continue in this one. Look for Josh Allen to play big as the Bills win it.

Cody Benjamin, CBS Sports: Bills

Jared Dubin, CBS Sports: Bills

Ryan Wilson, CBS Sports: Bills

John Breech, CBS Sports: Bills

Tyler Sullivan, CBS Sports: Bills

Dave Richard, CBS Sports: Bills

Jamey Eisenburg, CBS Sports: Bills

Pro Football Talk

Mike Florio: Bills 30, Patriots 23

Chris Simms: Patriots 27, Bills 24

Paul Perillo, Patriots.com:

Pick: Patriots 34, Bills 33

Patriots and Drake Maye's coming out party ends with a dramatic last-second victory in Buffalo.

Mike Dussault, Patriots.com:

Pick: Bills 30, Patriots 24

The Pats look like they're on the right track, but the Bills are still a wagon. Drake Maye and the offense should be able to move the ball against Buffalo's defense but Josh Allen and James Cook are give the Bills the edge at home. Pats go down swinging.

Evan Lazar, Patriots.com:

Pick: Bills 31, Patriots 24

As much as my heart wants to pick the Patriots, the Bills are pretty much unbeatable at home. The Patriots compete and make it close, but the Bills have too much offense.

DISCLAIMER: The views and thoughts expressed in this article are those of the writer and don't necessarily reflect those of the organization. Read Full Disclaimer

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