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Expert Predictions: Week 1 picks for Patriots at Dolphins

Experts share their picks for the Patriots Week 1 matchup against the Miami Dolphins.


Experts share their picks for the Patriots Week 1 matchup against the Miami Dolphins.

Mike Reiss, ESPN:

Pick: Patriots 17 Dolphins 16

Bold prediction: Former Dolphins wideout DeVante Parker will score a touchdown in his Patriots debut. The Dolphins' No. 2 cornerback spot opposite Xavien Howard is a question mark with Byron Jones on the reserve/PUP list, and Parker has led the NFL in tight-window catches over the past five seasons (less than 1 yard of separation), according to NFL Next Gen Stats.

Stephania Bell, ESPN: Dolphins

Matt Bowen, ESPN: Patriots

Mike Clay, ESPN: Dolphins

Jeremy Fowler: Patriots

Dominique Foxworth, ESPN: Dolphins

Dan Graziano, ESPN: Dolphins

Jason Reid, ESPN: Patriots

Laura Rutledge, ESPN: Dolphins

Seth Wickersham, ESPN: Patriots

Gregg Rosenthal,

Pick: Dolphins 24, Patriots 17

Both Mike McDaniel and Matt Patricia have attempted to install similar offensive schemes this offseason. One man grew up in the system and added Tyreek Hill and Raheem Mostert to an offensive group whose team speed rivals any in football. The other man is Matt Patricia, who added DeVante Parker, a player the Dolphins were happy to give up. This is going to take Mac Jones some time.

Pete Prisco, CBS Sports:

Pick: Dolphins 24, Patriots 19

The Patriots are in an unusual situation as a road dog here. They are coming off an unsettled preseason, while Miami is coming off a preseason filled with Tua Tagovailoa hype. He has a lot of weapons and did look good, which makes this a big game for him. I think Mike McDaniel will get the ball out quick to his playmakers and cause issues for a defense that isn't as talented as years past. The Dolphins have defeated the Patriots three straight times. Make it four.

Jason La Canfora, CBS Sports: Dolphins

Will Brinson, CBS Sports: Patriots

Dave Richard, CBS Sports: Dolphins

Ryan Wilson, CBS Sports: Dolphins

John Breech, CBS Sports: Patriots

Jamey Eisenberg, CBS Sports: Dolphins

Jared Dubin, CBS Sports: Dolphins

Mike Florio, Pro Football Talk:

Pick: Dolphins 27, Patriots 20

The Patriots struggle in Miami when they have the better team. How will they do when they don't?

Michael David Smith, Pro Football Talk:

Pick: Patriots 16, Dolphins 13

I'm not as sold on the Dolphins' new-look offense as some are, and I think Bill Belichick is going to have some defensive wrinkles in store that help the Patriots win a low-scoring game.

Paul Perillo,

Pick: Dolphins 27, Patriots 16

The Patriots house of horrors in South Florida remains very much in place despite the early arrival. The offensive struggles seen throughout the summer continue as Miami's causes problems.

Mike Dussault,

Pick: Patriots 24, Dolphins 21

The Dolphins have had the Patriots' number of late with three-straight wins, but the margins of victory were all fairly close with some bad, and hopefully uncharacteristic, mistakes by New England playing a significant role in the outcomes. This time around the Patriots avoid those critical mistakes and do just enough to get an impressive season-opening win to hang their hat on.

Evan Lazar,

Pick: Dolphins 28, Patriots 20

Until we see the Patriots offense consistently move the ball, it's hard to see New England keeping pace with the Dolphins offense. I'm confident that Belichick will have a plan against Tua and Mike McDaniel. But there's too much firepower on the Dolphins offense for the Patriots offense to look like it did during training camp.

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